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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.90vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.44+7.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+4.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.54+4.93vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.59+3.74vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05+0.98vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.25+3.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.38+5.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+1.31vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.35+0.12vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-3.49vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.45-2.22vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39+0.41vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.29-8.15vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-4.74vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-5.97vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.27-6.71vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.69Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.29Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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10.31Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.12College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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7.51Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.41George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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10.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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12.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 10.9% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Chase Decker | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 25.5% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 25.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.