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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.59+7.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+6.24vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+2.00vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.35+4.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+4.34vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+6.55vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05-1.12vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.45+0.40vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+0.59vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.03-3.85vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-4.27vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.44-3.74vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.25-4.07vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.27-4.84vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-6.02vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-4.46vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.38-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.07Dartmouth College2.590.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.77College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.55George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.88Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.73Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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12.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 25.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Peter Barnard | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.8% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.