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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+9.42vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+6.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+3.01vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.74+3.21vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.45vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35+2.87vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+2.32vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-2.98vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39+3.87vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.54-1.75vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.59-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.38+0.54vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.53-5.03vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-5.60vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-3.45vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.45-7.39vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.03-11.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.42University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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5.92Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy2.540.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.21Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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9.87College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.02Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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13.87George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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13.54University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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8.97Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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12.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christian Ebbin | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 27.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Chase Decker | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 24.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.