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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.76+2.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+3.81vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.85+3.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.49+3.73vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.80+1.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+2.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47+3.91vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.08-2.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.14-0.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36-5.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-2.02vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.80-2.18vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.08-0.68vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.97-4.85vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.30-3.55vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-1.79-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Brown University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.36Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.73Brown University1.490.0%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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5.53Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.68Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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4.89Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Rhode Island-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.15Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island0.300.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Rhode Island-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Stapleton | 22.2% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julian Dahiya | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Peter Judge | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 3.8% |
| Bo Angus | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Parker Moore | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Pierson Falk | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Jacob Lentz | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 27.1% | 8.5% |
| William Baker | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Finneas Coldreck | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 4.7% |
| Leo Giard | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.