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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.10+0.97vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.97+0.65vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.64+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.62+0.36vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.93-0.46vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.25-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.96-0.58vs Predicted
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8Bates College-2.96-0.25vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-2.94-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Rhode Island1.1045.0%1st Place
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2.65Salve Regina University0.9724.1%1st Place
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4.26Boston University-0.648.9%1st Place
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4.36University of Vermont-0.628.1%1st Place
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4.54Salve Regina University-0.936.5%1st Place
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5.32Fairfield University-1.254.2%1st Place
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6.42University of Connecticut-1.961.7%1st Place
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7.75Bates College-2.960.8%1st Place
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7.73Middlebury College-2.940.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 45.0% | 28.6% | 15.2% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 24.1% | 28.5% | 22.2% | 14.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 8.9% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Petrush | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Santiago Pastor | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 26.3% | 22.8% | 10.0% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 13.3% | 28.2% | 42.8% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 28.2% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.