Race 4A

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Tamblyn 21.9% 18.5% 16.1% 15.9% 12.1% 7.2% 4.6% 1.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Carolyn Naughton 19.5% 18.7% 15.7% 13.6% 11.0% 9.0% 6.3% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Margaret Bacon 9.3% 10.2% 10.0% 10.3% 11.5% 12.6% 10.8% 9.7% 10.1% 4.2% 1.3%
Viktor Wettergren 8.9% 9.5% 9.6% 10.5% 12.8% 12.4% 11.1% 10.5% 7.6% 5.3% 1.8%
Ames Lyman 4.8% 4.5% 6.5% 6.0% 6.6% 9.4% 8.8% 11.9% 14.4% 18.2% 8.9%
Javier Ramos 6.7% 7.0% 8.3% 8.8% 9.9% 10.2% 10.4% 13.8% 11.2% 9.1% 4.6%
Carolyn Marsh 1.4% 2.9% 2.6% 2.0% 2.7% 3.0% 5.3% 6.1% 10.2% 16.5% 47.3%
Bradley Abbott 10.4% 9.2% 11.1% 13.2% 10.8% 10.5% 11.2% 9.4% 8.1% 4.4% 1.7%
Tyler Durant 2.6% 3.6% 3.3% 3.0% 3.6% 4.9% 8.5% 8.2% 12.4% 24.6% 25.3%
Alejandro Bancalari 9.5% 9.6% 9.6% 9.9% 10.1% 11.2% 12.1% 12.1% 8.2% 5.6% 2.1%
Benjmain Berg 5.0% 6.3% 7.2% 6.8% 8.9% 9.6% 10.9% 13.0% 14.1% 11.4% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.