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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+7.58vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47+8.78vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.49+4.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.01+2.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.80+1.58vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island-0.08+5.35vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.85-1.76vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.76-5.17vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.08-4.31vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.80-1.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-2.98vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.97-3.73vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.30-2.75vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.14-6.15vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-1.79-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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7.57Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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4.89Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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12.35University of Rhode Island-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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3.83Brown University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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9.27Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Rhode Island0.300.0%1st Place
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8.85Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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15.28University of Rhode Island-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Vinogradov | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Judge | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 3.2% |
| Julian Dahiya | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Roman | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Parker Moore | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Lentz | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 28.6% | 11.1% |
| reece schwartz | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Stapleton | 21.8% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo Angus | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierson Falk | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| William Baker | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Finneas Coldreck | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 4.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Leo Giard | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.