Race 5A

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Margaret Bacon 8.3% 10.6% 11.7% 10.5% 11.5% 13.2% 11.4% 11.1% 6.1% 4.1% 1.5%
Alejandro Bancalari 8.9% 7.5% 10.7% 9.9% 11.4% 10.5% 11.3% 11.1% 10.6% 6.0% 2.1%
Andrew Tamblyn 21.1% 20.6% 16.1% 13.9% 9.2% 8.7% 6.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Carolyn Naughton 19.1% 17.4% 15.4% 14.0% 12.6% 8.3% 5.1% 5.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Bradley Abbott 10.3% 11.1% 9.5% 11.2% 10.0% 11.6% 10.9% 9.4% 8.4% 6.4% 1.2%
Viktor Wettergren 9.9% 10.6% 11.6% 11.1% 11.5% 11.3% 8.7% 9.8% 8.1% 5.2% 2.2%
Javier Ramos 8.5% 7.6% 8.0% 9.1% 10.8% 10.0% 11.0% 13.5% 10.9% 7.4% 3.2%
Benjmain Berg 5.8% 5.0% 6.2% 8.3% 9.2% 8.5% 11.1% 11.7% 13.3% 14.5% 6.4%
Ames Lyman 4.2% 5.2% 4.8% 6.6% 5.3% 8.5% 11.8% 10.6% 16.4% 16.5% 10.1%
Tyler Durant 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 2.9% 5.4% 5.8% 7.7% 9.1% 13.5% 21.1% 25.1%
Carolyn Marsh 1.4% 1.0% 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 3.6% 5.0% 5.8% 9.9% 17.1% 48.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.