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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.10+0.97vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.97+0.66vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.93+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.62+0.28vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.25+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.96+0.46vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.64-2.70vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-2.94-0.24vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.96-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Rhode Island1.1045.1%1st Place
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2.66Salve Regina University0.9723.7%1st Place
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4.55Salve Regina University-0.936.7%1st Place
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4.28University of Vermont-0.628.4%1st Place
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5.29Fairfield University-1.253.8%1st Place
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6.46University of Connecticut-1.962.1%1st Place
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4.3Boston University-0.648.3%1st Place
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7.76Middlebury College-2.940.9%1st Place
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7.73Bates College-2.961.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 45.1% | 27.8% | 16.6% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 23.7% | 29.2% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 6.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Petrush | 8.4% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Santiago Pastor | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Jack Sullivan | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 26.7% | 23.3% | 10.9% |
| Josh Sultanik | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 13.2% | 29.8% | 41.6% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 12.6% | 26.8% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.