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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.15+1.51vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.60+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.80+2.29vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.50-1.81vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.29-1.23vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.68+0.42vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.86-1.55vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-2.22-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of Rhode Island1.150.3%1st Place
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3.33Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.29University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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2.19Northeastern University1.500.4%1st Place
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3.77Boston University0.290.1%1st Place
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6.42Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.45Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.04Sacred Heart University-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Burnham | 29.1% | 27.2% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 14.1% | 17.5% | 23.6% | 22.2% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 25.7% | 20.1% | 7.3% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 36.6% | 29.3% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matteo Asscher | 10.2% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 23.6% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Gardner | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 30.2% | 29.3% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 11.2% | 20.7% | 25.9% | 19.1% | 10.0% |
| Will Sugerman | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 25.4% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.