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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.15+1.53vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.50+0.18vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.29+0.70vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.60-0.69vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.86+0.36vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.80-2.66vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-2.22-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Rhode Island1.150.3%1st Place
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2.18Northeastern University1.500.4%1st Place
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3.7Boston University0.290.1%1st Place
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3.31Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.36Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.59Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
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5.34University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.98Sacred Heart University-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Burnham | 27.5% | 28.3% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 37.5% | 27.7% | 19.9% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Asscher | 11.3% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 23.3% | 18.9% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Theresa Straw | 14.8% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 21.9% | 15.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 20.9% | 27.9% | 19.0% | 7.1% |
| Owen Peterson | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 28.9% | 34.8% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 26.2% | 19.1% | 8.0% |
| Will Sugerman | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 27.8% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.