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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.10-0.14vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.93+1.37vs Predicted
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4Boston University-1.31+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.62-0.97vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.25-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.96-0.70vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-2.94-0.31vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.96-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Salve Regina University0.9725.2%1st Place
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1.86University of Rhode Island1.1047.5%1st Place
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4.37Salve Regina University-0.936.4%1st Place
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5.38Boston University-1.314.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Vermont-0.629.6%1st Place
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5.17Fairfield University-1.253.9%1st Place
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6.3University of Connecticut-1.962.2%1st Place
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7.69Middlebury College-2.940.6%1st Place
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7.66Bates College-2.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.2% | 30.2% | 22.6% | 13.7% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 47.5% | 29.1% | 15.3% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 6.4% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Petrush | 9.6% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Santiago Pastor | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 1.8% |
| Jack Sullivan | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 22.2% | 10.1% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 26.1% | 42.5% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 26.6% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.