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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.12+4.71vs Predicted
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2Bentley University0.92+6.37vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+2.37vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.62+2.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.15-1.64vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97-2.30vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.25-1.89vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.32-3.01vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.48-1.83vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.92-4.01vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.36-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.37Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.96Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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3.36Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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3.7Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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5.11University of Vermont2.250.1%1st Place
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4.99Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.920.1%1st Place
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9.28Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Bancalari | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Durant | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 24.4% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Benjmain Berg | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 7.1% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 23.5% | 21.2% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 19.6% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Abbott | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Margaret Bacon | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Ames Lyman | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 10.1% |
| Javier Ramos | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.