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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.10+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.62+2.04vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.93+1.35vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97-1.47vs Predicted
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5Boston University-1.31+0.39vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.25-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.96-0.68vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-2.94-0.39vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.96-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Rhode Island1.1046.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Vermont-0.629.1%1st Place
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4.35Salve Regina University-0.937.5%1st Place
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2.53Salve Regina University0.9725.5%1st Place
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5.39Boston University-1.314.8%1st Place
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5.17Fairfield University-1.253.5%1st Place
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6.32University of Connecticut-1.962.1%1st Place
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7.61Middlebury College-2.940.9%1st Place
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7.68Bates College-2.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 46.0% | 30.3% | 14.5% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 9.1% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.5% | 30.1% | 22.1% | 13.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
| Santiago Pastor | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 10.8% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 28.7% | 39.3% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 25.4% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.