Race 7A

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Shapiro 21.2% 21.6% 15.1% 14.9% 12.5% 7.7% 3.5% 1.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 9.2% 8.8% 10.9% 10.7% 11.4% 14.7% 11.2% 9.9% 8.3% 3.9% 1.0%
Carolyn Naughton 16.1% 14.6% 18.8% 13.4% 13.1% 8.8% 8.5% 3.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Neil Forrester 3.7% 4.0% 5.0% 5.3% 7.9% 8.0% 11.2% 14.3% 15.9% 15.7% 9.0%
Mariel Marchand 19.3% 17.7% 14.4% 13.6% 11.2% 9.5% 7.0% 3.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Bradley Abbott 7.6% 11.7% 7.9% 12.3% 10.9% 12.7% 12.6% 9.1% 7.2% 5.9% 2.1%
Ames Lyman 5.2% 4.5% 6.0% 6.2% 5.5% 10.2% 11.9% 12.9% 14.5% 14.6% 8.5%
Alejandro Bancalari 8.3% 8.1% 10.4% 11.4% 11.6% 9.9% 10.8% 11.9% 10.0% 6.1% 1.5%
Tyler Durant 2.6% 2.5% 3.6% 3.0% 4.3% 5.9% 6.6% 11.0% 11.9% 22.1% 26.5%
Benjmain Berg 5.4% 4.8% 6.5% 6.5% 8.5% 9.6% 11.7% 13.8% 15.7% 11.4% 6.1%
Carolyn Marsh 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 2.7% 3.1% 3.0% 5.0% 7.6% 10.1% 18.9% 45.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.