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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.30+0.52vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-2.58+2.52vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-2.72+0.67vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-2.50-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.40-3.93vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-5.16+0.46vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-3.74-2.87vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-3.10-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Michigan Technological University0.300.6%1st Place
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4.52Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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4.67Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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4.46Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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2.07University of Michigan-0.400.3%1st Place
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7.46Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
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6.13Northern Michigan University-3.740.0%1st Place
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5.18Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Myneni | 60.0% | 30.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Astrid Myhre | 2.9% | 6.9% | 17.2% | 23.0% | 21.6% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Monville | 3.1% | 5.6% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 11.7% | 2.4% |
| George Prokop | 3.2% | 6.5% | 18.6% | 23.1% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Lila Torresen | 28.2% | 44.6% | 20.7% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 15.1% | 72.8% |
| Leo Barch | 1.3% | 1.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 38.6% | 16.9% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 1.2% | 4.2% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 18.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.