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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.30+0.35vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.65+1.03vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-2.50+1.21vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.72-1.44vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.58-2.68vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-3.74-2.02vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-3.10-3.87vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.35Michigan Technological University0.300.7%1st Place
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3.03University of Michigan-1.650.1%1st Place
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4.21Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.56Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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4.32Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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5.98Northern Michigan University-3.740.0%1st Place
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5.13Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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7.44Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Myneni | 73.5% | 19.6% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Giordano | 10.7% | 30.7% | 26.6% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| George Prokop | 4.7% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Monville | 3.1% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 2.1% |
| Astrid Myhre | 3.9% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 9.7% | 1.3% |
| Leo Barch | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 35.2% | 15.3% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 2.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 22.3% | 20.6% | 5.4% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 13.2% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.