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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.40+1.08vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.30-0.47vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-2.58+0.50vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-3.10+0.24vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.50-1.61vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.72-3.33vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-3.74-2.88vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08University of Michigan-0.400.3%1st Place
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1.53Michigan Technological University0.300.6%1st Place
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4.5Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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5.24Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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4.39Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.67Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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6.12Northern Michigan University-3.740.0%1st Place
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7.47Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lila Torresen | 30.4% | 42.4% | 18.7% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Myneni | 57.9% | 32.8% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Astrid Myhre | 3.3% | 6.6% | 18.9% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 9.0% | 1.6% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 1.1% | 4.1% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 22.8% | 20.3% | 5.0% |
| George Prokop | 3.2% | 6.5% | 19.8% | 24.6% | 20.7% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Monville | 2.9% | 5.0% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 2.2% |
| Leo Barch | 1.1% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 38.0% | 15.7% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 12.9% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.