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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.30+0.28vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-2.58+1.08vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-2.500.00vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-3.10-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.65-4.06vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-2.72-4.73vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.28Michigan Technological University0.300.8%1st Place
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4.08Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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4.0Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.83Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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2.94University of Michigan-1.650.1%1st Place
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4.27Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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6.6Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Myneni | 77.5% | 18.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Astrid Myhre | 4.0% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 17.8% | 2.5% |
| George Prokop | 4.6% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 22.5% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 2.7% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 1.1% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 33.6% | 8.9% |
| Jillian Giordano | 9.2% | 34.9% | 25.3% | 18.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Monville | 3.5% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 23.4% | 21.7% | 3.8% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.