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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.30+0.29vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-2.58+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.65-0.08vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.72-0.66vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-3.10-1.21vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.50-4.01vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29Michigan Technological University0.300.8%1st Place
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4.08Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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2.92University of Michigan-1.650.1%1st Place
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4.34Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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4.79Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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3.99Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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6.59Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Myneni | 77.5% | 17.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Astrid Myhre | 4.0% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 21.5% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 3.0% |
| Jillian Giordano | 9.4% | 35.7% | 25.5% | 17.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Monville | 2.2% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 24.3% | 21.2% | 4.2% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 2.5% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 32.7% | 8.9% |
| George Prokop | 4.2% | 13.4% | 22.2% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 2.4% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.