Race 8A

central-series-4

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Carolyn Naughton 14.5% 18.9% 16.1% 13.9% 13.8% 10.2% 6.3% 3.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Matthew Shapiro 23.9% 19.7% 16.0% 14.7% 9.0% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ames Lyman 4.0% 4.1% 5.4% 5.2% 6.1% 9.1% 10.9% 12.6% 15.9% 16.6% 10.1%
Bradley Abbott 7.8% 8.3% 9.1% 10.8% 12.7% 12.5% 11.4% 11.8% 9.8% 3.9% 1.9%
Viktor Wettergren 9.4% 9.4% 10.3% 11.4% 12.7% 11.0% 12.1% 10.2% 7.2% 5.2% 1.1%
Neil Forrester 3.8% 4.7% 5.2% 7.0% 7.5% 8.3% 11.9% 12.3% 14.7% 15.6% 9.0%
Alejandro Bancalari 8.0% 9.2% 9.6% 10.4% 12.1% 11.7% 12.3% 10.8% 8.6% 5.0% 2.3%
Benjmain Berg 5.5% 4.3% 6.7% 7.2% 8.4% 10.6% 11.7% 14.0% 13.2% 13.1% 5.3%
Tyler Durant 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 3.2% 4.0% 5.8% 6.8% 10.9% 14.8% 20.0% 26.1%
Mariel Marchand 20.1% 16.6% 16.5% 13.8% 11.2% 8.4% 6.7% 3.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Carolyn Marsh 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 4.2% 4.9% 7.5% 10.6% 19.5% 43.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.