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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.10+0.89vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-1.25+3.11vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97-0.43vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.93+0.38vs Predicted
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5Boston University-1.31+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.62-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.96-0.63vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-2.94-0.32vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.96-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Rhode Island1.1046.3%1st Place
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5.11Fairfield University-1.254.2%1st Place
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2.57Salve Regina University0.9726.2%1st Place
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4.38Salve Regina University-0.937.0%1st Place
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5.31Boston University-1.314.5%1st Place
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4.07University of Vermont-0.628.3%1st Place
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6.37University of Connecticut-1.962.0%1st Place
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7.68Middlebury College-2.940.9%1st Place
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7.64Bates College-2.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 46.3% | 30.1% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Pastor | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.2% | 28.1% | 23.1% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 7.0% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 10.3% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Petrush | 8.3% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Sullivan | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 23.8% | 22.5% | 10.7% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 26.0% | 43.0% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 27.2% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.