← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.05+4.66vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.87+4.20vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+5.24vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.59+3.07vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.09+4.11vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.29+2.39vs Predicted
-
7Yale University1.90+2.96vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.25+0.42vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.84+1.23vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.77+0.80vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.66+0.13vs Predicted
-
12Yale University2.48-4.09vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.60-1.96vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.30-5.96vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.49vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University0.78-1.68vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.22-4.12vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College1.59-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.66Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.2Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.07Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
-
9.11Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
-
8.39Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
9.96Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
-
8.42Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
10.23University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
-
10.8Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.13Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
7.91Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
11.04Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
8.04Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
14.32Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
-
12.88University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
11.1Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Chase Decker | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Foley | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Owen Grainger | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Gavin Hudson | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Porter Bell | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 33.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 17.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.