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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+4.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.59+5.30vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+5.58vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.48+3.49vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.87+1.10vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+2.37vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.09+2.16vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.45vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.90+0.98vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.25-1.23vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.66+0.08vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.59-0.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-2.93vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-6.23vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.60-3.82vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.78-1.70vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.22-4.17vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.77-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.58Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.37Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.98Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.77Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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11.08Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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11.61Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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11.18Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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14.3Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Robby Meek | 11.7% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 32.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 17.5% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.