← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+6.92vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.59+5.02vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.90+6.83vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.30+3.90vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.09+3.76vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.29+2.09vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.87-1.16vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.77+2.02vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.48-1.79vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.05-4.57vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.60-0.03vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.66-1.06vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University0.78+0.65vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.22-2.08vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.15-2.46vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.75vs Predicted
-
17Boston College2.25-8.70vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.56-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.02Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
-
9.83Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
-
7.9Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
8.76Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
-
8.09Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
5.84Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
10.02Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.21Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
5.43Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.97Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
10.94Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
13.65Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
-
11.92University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
12.54University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
8.3Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
14.39Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Chase Decker | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Robby Meek | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 23.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Rory Murray | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.