← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.87+5.03vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.30+6.18vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.05+2.33vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.48+3.21vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.22+7.15vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.09+2.90vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.25+1.17vs Predicted
-
8Yale University1.90+1.60vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.19vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.59-2.90vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-3.21vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.29-3.63vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.66-2.60vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.60-3.50vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University0.78-1.21vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island1.15-3.33vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.77-6.75vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.56-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.03Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
8.18Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
5.33Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.21Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
12.15University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
8.9Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
-
8.17Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
9.6Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
-
10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
7.1Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
-
7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.37Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
10.4Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
10.5Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
13.79Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
-
12.67University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
10.25Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
-
14.38Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Chase Decker | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Porter Bell | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 21.9% |
| Olin Guck | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% |
| Gavin Hudson | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Rory Murray | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.