← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.59+6.05vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.87+3.99vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.48+4.54vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.30+3.90vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.11vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.05-0.77vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.29+1.08vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-0.37vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.15+3.56vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.56+4.63vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.60-0.06vs Predicted
-
12Yale University1.90-1.98vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.77-3.00vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.09-5.49vs Predicted
-
15Boston College2.25-6.91vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University1.66-5.32vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.22-4.60vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University0.78-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.05Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
-
5.99Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.54Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
7.9Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
5.23Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.08Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
12.56University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
14.63Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
-
10.94Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
10.02Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
-
10.0Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.51Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
-
8.09Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
10.68Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
13.65Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Decker | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Robby Meek | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% |
| Rory Murray | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 34.2% |
| Porter Bell | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Gavin Hudson | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.4% |
| Jack Schneider | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.