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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+4.35vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.13+5.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.64+2.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.38+5.86vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.32+5.16vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.74+6.39vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-2.13vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-1.76vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.21-2.21vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49-0.23vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-2.78vs Predicted
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12Yale University-0.01+2.87vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.69-4.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.16vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.23-4.46vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.89-4.01vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-2.48vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.20-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.57Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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10.16Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.39Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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4.87Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.77Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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14.87Yale University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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14.95Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Turner Ryon | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Posner | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| William Kulas | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Wahlig | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 28.8% |
| Gus Macaulay | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Begin | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 22.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.