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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.49+8.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+6.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.64+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.38+5.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82-0.10vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.13+1.18vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.21-0.14vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.73-2.88vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.23+1.50vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.89+2.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.74vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.69-2.86vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.32-2.97vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.38-7.91vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.74-2.73vs Predicted
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16Yale University-0.01-1.30vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-2.53vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.20-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.74Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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5.62Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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4.9Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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7.18Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.86Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.12Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.03Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.27Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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14.7Yale University-0.010.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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14.99Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra Phelan | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| William Kulas | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.6% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Posner | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 5.1% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Gus Macaulay | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Turner Ryon | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
| Patrick Wahlig | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 25.5% |
| Ryan Begin | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 25.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.