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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.13+5.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.64+2.63vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.73+1.13vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.21+1.92vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.49+3.61vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-2.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.69+0.72vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.32+1.17vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.23+0.74vs Predicted
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11Yale University-0.01+3.65vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.89+0.11vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-5.14vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.38-7.91vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.38-5.04vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.74-3.64vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-2.49vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.20-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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7.33Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.63Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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5.13Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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4.89Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.17Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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14.65Yale University-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.11Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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12.36Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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14.51University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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14.96Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Carly Kieding | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 14.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Posner | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.6% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Turner Ryon | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| William Hurd | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Wahlig | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 28.2% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
| William Kulas | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Begin | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 23.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.