← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.10+0.84vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.97+0.57vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University-0.93+1.30vs Predicted
-
4Boston University-1.31+1.22vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University-1.25-0.11vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont-0.62-2.03vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut-1.96-0.99vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-2.94-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.84University of Rhode Island1.1049.2%1st Place
-
2.57Salve Regina University0.9722.5%1st Place
-
4.3Salve Regina University-0.937.4%1st Place
-
5.22Boston University-1.313.5%1st Place
-
4.89Fairfield University-1.255.3%1st Place
-
3.97University of Vermont-0.629.0%1st Place
-
6.01University of Connecticut-1.962.2%1st Place
-
7.21Middlebury College-2.940.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 49.2% | 28.5% | 14.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 22.5% | 32.8% | 21.9% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 8.5% |
| Santiago Pastor | 5.3% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Petrush | 9.0% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 31.6% | 19.4% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 17.1% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.