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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+4.61vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+6.86vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.88+6.28vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.06+4.45vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.90+8.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.85vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin4.10+1.17vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+3.06vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.04vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-0.13vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.19-2.84vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36+0.16vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.04vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-5.56vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.98-6.13vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.19-8.31vs Predicted
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18Harvard University4.36-9.82vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.73-8.04vs Predicted
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20U. S. Naval Academy3.34-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.86Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.28Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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14.83Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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12.06University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.0%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.16Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.16Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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15.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.87Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.69Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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13.02U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Alex Cook | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
| Sam Williams | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 21.8% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Will Stocke | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 25.3% |
| William Haeger | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Colin Smith | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Olin Davis | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.