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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.76+4.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.55+4.28vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+5.72vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.21+3.23vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.36+1.70vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38+3.48vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-1.43vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.13-1.49vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.32+0.99vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.23+0.23vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.99vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.69-3.86vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.89-1.99vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.49-5.01vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.74-3.03vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-2.04vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.20-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Brown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.28Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.7Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.51Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.99Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.01Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.99Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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12.97Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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14.96University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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15.38Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Stapleton | 11.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Posner | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Elle Sykes | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Turner Ryon | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| William Hurd | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Gus Macaulay | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 6.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% |
| Ryan Begin | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 30.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.