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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+3.23vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+1.09vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.13vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.15+0.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-1.08vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.98vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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3.09Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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3.57Fordham University2.010.2%1st Place
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2.87University of Pennsylvania2.470.2%1st Place
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6.76Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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3.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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6.54SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 20.7% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 16.2% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Jackson McAliley | 23.9% | 22.7% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 15.4% | 26.2% | 42.9% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 23.8% | 26.3% | 19.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 23.4% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Luke Barker | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 17.8% | 29.1% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.