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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+4.87vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.88vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+0.08vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01-0.45vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.54-0.67vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.06+0.61vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.99vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.15-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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2.88University of Pennsylvania2.470.2%1st Place
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3.08Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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3.55Fordham University2.010.2%1st Place
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4.33Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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6.61SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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6.66Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Marsh | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 25.4% | 25.1% | 18.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 23.9% | 24.0% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 21.7% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 15.3% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 2.3% |
| Luke Barker | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 15.7% | 26.5% | 39.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 24.0% | 19.3% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 15.9% | 28.6% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.