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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.11vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01-0.42vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32-1.89vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.54-1.68vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.15-0.30vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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2.89University of Pennsylvania2.470.2%1st Place
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3.58Fordham University2.010.2%1st Place
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3.11Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.32Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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6.7Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.64SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 23.7% | 21.7% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 24.1% | 22.9% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 15.5% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 21.1% | 20.7% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 9.0% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 19.0% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 15.1% | 27.8% | 40.8% |
| Luke Barker | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 28.9% | 39.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 26.7% | 27.1% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.