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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.81vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+1.12vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.54+0.29vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.01-1.41vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.06+0.63vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.04vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.15-1.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of Pennsylvania2.470.2%1st Place
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3.12Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.29Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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3.59Fordham University2.010.2%1st Place
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6.63SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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2.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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6.75Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 24.9% | 23.7% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 20.5% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Lucas Thress | 15.2% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Luke Barker | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 14.2% | 33.0% | 35.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 22.0% | 21.2% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 13.4% | 24.5% | 45.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 27.2% | 25.8% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.