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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+3.25vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+1.60vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+0.09vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.10vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.39vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.15-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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3.6Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.09Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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2.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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2.87University of Pennsylvania2.470.2%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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6.61SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.69Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 2.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 15.0% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 22.0% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 21.4% | 19.0% | 22.4% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 22.4% | 20.1% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 24.5% | 24.0% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 24.9% | 25.8% | 18.1% |
| Luke Barker | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 15.4% | 27.2% | 39.5% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 17.0% | 27.8% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.