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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.80vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+1.59vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.00vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+1.93vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.54-0.67vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32-2.95vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.38vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.15-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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3.59Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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4.33Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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3.05Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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6.62SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.68Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 25.6% | 23.5% | 20.1% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 14.7% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 22.8% | 19.6% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 23.4% | 25.8% | 19.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 21.6% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Luke Barker | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 29.2% | 38.5% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 17.3% | 28.5% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.