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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.13vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.54+0.32vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32-1.92vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01-2.41vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-2.04vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.15-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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2.87University of Pennsylvania2.470.2%1st Place
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4.32Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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3.08Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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3.59Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.6SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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6.68Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 24.1% | 21.3% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 24.6% | 23.6% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 9.7% | 2.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 20.9% | 20.4% | 19.0% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 13.9% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Luke Barker | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 17.3% | 27.0% | 38.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 24.6% | 25.6% | 20.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 15.4% | 30.0% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.