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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+3.24vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.14vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32-1.89vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.04vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01-3.47vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.36vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.15-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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3.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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2.86University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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3.11Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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3.53Fordham University2.010.2%1st Place
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6.64SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.67Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 20.7% | 23.1% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 25.5% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 20.6% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 24.7% | 27.9% | 17.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 16.2% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Luke Barker | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 27.2% | 40.1% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 16.0% | 28.9% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.