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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Zach Earnshaw 7.3% 9.9% 12.6% 14.4% 16.1% 13.8% 12.7% 7.9% 4.0% 1.2%
Sam Ingalls 43.9% 28.2% 15.4% 8.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 21.7% 24.5% 21.0% 14.6% 9.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 7.1% 8.0% 11.2% 13.7% 14.6% 13.8% 13.5% 10.2% 7.0% 1.1%
Ryan Petrush 6.7% 10.4% 13.8% 15.6% 14.6% 14.8% 11.2% 8.3% 3.8% 0.9%
Danielle Bogacheva 3.2% 4.9% 6.3% 9.1% 10.2% 14.0% 15.9% 16.8% 14.1% 5.5%
Santiago Pastor 4.0% 5.9% 8.1% 9.7% 12.8% 14.1% 14.6% 14.3% 12.2% 4.3%
Alex Anderson 3.0% 4.2% 5.7% 7.1% 9.9% 12.0% 13.8% 17.0% 18.5% 8.8%
Annabelle Wyman 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 4.7% 8.3% 14.4% 60.9%
Jack Sullivan 2.0% 3.2% 4.2% 5.1% 6.8% 8.3% 11.0% 16.4% 25.8% 17.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.