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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+3.87vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.10+0.02vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97-0.04vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.93+1.16vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.62-0.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University-1.31+0.31vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.25-1.03vs Predicted
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8McGill University-1.51-1.35vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-2.94-0.12vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.96-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.697.3%1st Place
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2.02University of Rhode Island1.1043.9%1st Place
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2.96Salve Regina University0.9721.7%1st Place
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5.16Salve Regina University-0.937.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Vermont-0.626.7%1st Place
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6.31Boston University-1.313.2%1st Place
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5.97Fairfield University-1.254.0%1st Place
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6.65McGill University-1.513.0%1st Place
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8.88Middlebury College-2.940.9%1st Place
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7.38University of Connecticut-1.962.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zach Earnshaw | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
Sam Ingalls | 43.9% | 28.2% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Olivia Lowthian | 21.7% | 24.5% | 21.0% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Tyler Winowiecki | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
Ryan Petrush | 6.7% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
Danielle Bogacheva | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 5.5% |
Santiago Pastor | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 4.3% |
Alex Anderson | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 8.8% |
Annabelle Wyman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 60.9% |
Jack Sullivan | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 25.8% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.