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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+8.91vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+8.83vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+6.01vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+4.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+10.04vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71+0.71vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+0.85vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.34+4.68vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01+0.62vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.73+1.08vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-1.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-2.37vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin4.10-3.27vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.88-3.73vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-2.86vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.19-7.15vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.90-2.39vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-6.42vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University3.36-6.28vs Predicted
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20Brown University3.98-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.01Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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15.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.62Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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9.59Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.27Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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12.14University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.85Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.61Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.72Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.03Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 25.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Olin Davis | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Sam Williams | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% |
| William Haeger | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Alex Cook | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 21.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Colin Smith | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.