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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63+2.83vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+2.60vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University-0.06+4.97vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+0.72vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.82-1.40vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+5.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-1.45vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.17-3.02vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.35-2.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34-2.88vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.83-1.97vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-1.66-0.94vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.79-1.72vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-2.13-2.21vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-1.60-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.2%1st Place
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4.6Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.72Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.6Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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11.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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4.98Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University0.350.0%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
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12.06Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.79Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Pokorny | 18.9% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden McCready | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dominik Moncur | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 20.1% | 18.3% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 13.7% |
| Madeline Murphy | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Fuller | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| James Meyer | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 16.5% |
| Riley McKnight | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 21.2% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 31.1% |
| Charlotte Green | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.