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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.82+2.48vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.17+2.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.29+1.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63-0.11vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25-0.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.35+1.06vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-1.66+4.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University-0.06+0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-1.60+1.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-5.38vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-2.13+0.80vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-1.01vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34-6.81vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.79-2.84vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.83-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.79Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.58Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.2%1st Place
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4.82Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University0.350.0%1st Place
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11.82Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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12.8Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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12.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.790.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 21.3% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 10.8% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Pokorny | 18.9% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominik Moncur | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Fuller | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 16.5% |
| Hayden McCready | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Green | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 12.6% |
| Madeline Murphy | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 32.9% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 16.1% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Riley McKnight | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 19.2% |
| James Meyer | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.