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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.29+3.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University-0.06+5.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63+0.83vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+0.72vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93+0.63vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.82-2.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34-0.01vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.35-0.97vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-1.66+1.92vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+0.84vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.83-1.98vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.79-0.69vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-2.13-1.06vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-1.60-3.22vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.17-11.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.2%1st Place
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4.72Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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3.45Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University0.350.0%1st Place
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11.92Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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11.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
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12.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.94Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden McCready | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Richard Pokorny | 18.7% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominik Moncur | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Murphy | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 20.4% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Fuller | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 15.1% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 14.3% |
| James Meyer | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Riley McKnight | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 19.6% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 33.8% |
| Charlotte Green | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 13.5% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 10.0% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.