Race 8A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Edward Herman 23.5% 19.3% 14.6% 12.8% 10.8% 7.2% 6.3% 2.8% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dominik Moncur 11.9% 14.0% 12.7% 12.7% 11.4% 13.0% 8.8% 6.0% 5.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ludwik Grzelak 11.2% 11.6% 12.9% 11.8% 11.4% 12.5% 8.9% 9.9% 5.7% 3.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Murphy 8.9% 9.0% 10.0% 11.4% 9.6% 11.5% 13.1% 11.0% 8.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Pokorny 16.1% 16.3% 15.8% 14.2% 13.0% 9.0% 7.1% 4.6% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Fichtenholtz 4.0% 5.3% 6.3% 5.7% 6.6% 11.2% 11.3% 13.3% 13.6% 11.1% 7.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Jakub Fuja 13.5% 11.4% 13.4% 13.3% 13.4% 10.4% 8.4% 7.4% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Blackmer 0.4% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 3.0% 2.8% 5.1% 7.8% 12.5% 13.8% 15.7% 17.4% 16.8%
Colin Shearley 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 2.3% 3.1% 5.6% 8.1% 11.2% 16.4% 16.0% 19.3% 13.1%
Sophia Fuller 4.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.6% 8.3% 9.7% 11.7% 12.6% 14.1% 11.0% 6.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Hayden McCready 2.8% 3.7% 3.9% 5.8% 6.8% 6.1% 9.3% 10.9% 13.6% 14.5% 9.7% 6.6% 3.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Charlotte Green 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 3.1% 4.4% 7.4% 13.2% 14.3% 18.1% 17.5% 14.9%
James Meyer 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 4.8% 7.0% 8.3% 13.0% 16.8% 15.7% 12.2% 6.0% 3.3%
Riley McKnight 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 1.3% 1.1% 2.1% 3.0% 4.2% 7.6% 10.3% 12.8% 17.6% 18.4% 19.5%
Victoria Sikorjak 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 0.8% 1.3% 2.5% 3.0% 4.8% 7.7% 12.3% 14.2% 18.4% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.