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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63+2.88vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+2.55vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.17+1.90vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+0.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+2.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-0.48vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.82-3.49vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-2.13+4.78vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.35-2.02vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-1.66+1.90vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.79+1.15vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-1.60-0.01vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-1.04vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.83-4.03vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University-0.06-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.2%1st Place
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4.55Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.9Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.76Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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3.51Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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12.78Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University0.350.0%1st Place
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11.9Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Pokorny | 19.5% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominik Moncur | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Murphy | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 21.6% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 31.9% |
| Sophia Fuller | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 15.6% |
| Riley McKnight | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 20.5% |
| Charlotte Green | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 15.4% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 13.7% |
| James Meyer | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Hayden McCready | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.