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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+8.42vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+8.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+7.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+7.50vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.73+5.99vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71+0.67vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.06+2.80vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.88+2.16vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.19-0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10-0.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.08vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.36-3.67vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-5.09vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University4.01-4.32vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.98vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.34-3.09vs Predicted
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17Stanford University4.19-8.24vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-5.76vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University3.36-6.36vs Predicted
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20Bowdoin College2.90-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.85Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.08Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.8Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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8.81Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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15.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.68Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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12.91U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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8.76Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.24University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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12.64Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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14.82Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Olin Davis | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Alex Cook | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 26.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.