Race 1A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 17.5% 16.5% 15.0% 13.8% 10.9% 9.4% 7.3% 4.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Bridget Green 21.8% 17.9% 17.5% 14.2% 10.5% 7.5% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 10.0% 11.2% 11.7% 11.5% 13.6% 12.0% 9.2% 7.5% 5.5% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Heather Kerns 8.6% 8.9% 8.2% 9.2% 10.0% 10.0% 10.2% 10.3% 9.7% 6.6% 4.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Cho-Cho Williams 4.5% 4.5% 4.7% 5.1% 5.9% 8.5% 8.7% 9.0% 11.2% 10.0% 11.2% 10.0% 5.0% 2.0%
Carly Mraz 1.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 6.4% 8.2% 13.9% 24.9% 26.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 3.9% 5.0% 5.1% 7.3% 6.0% 6.8% 9.6% 9.6% 10.8% 10.9% 11.2% 7.4% 4.9% 1.6%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.0% 5.3% 5.3% 5.9% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 10.4% 10.8% 11.5% 9.9% 7.7% 4.7% 1.2%
Eva Blauvelt 14.6% 15.2% 13.5% 12.2% 10.6% 10.1% 9.8% 5.5% 4.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 3.0% 3.1% 3.8% 4.9% 5.4% 5.8% 6.7% 8.5% 8.8% 11.8% 12.9% 12.3% 10.2% 2.7%
Avery Canavan 5.3% 5.5% 6.6% 5.9% 8.2% 8.2% 9.5% 12.1% 11.1% 9.2% 8.1% 6.2% 3.3% 0.8%
Eva Leggett 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 2.9% 3.8% 5.1% 8.2% 18.4% 52.7%
Annika VanderHorst 2.8% 3.8% 3.4% 4.8% 4.8% 5.9% 5.9% 8.0% 8.7% 11.7% 12.2% 13.5% 11.2% 3.6%
Kennedy Jones 2.4% 1.6% 2.9% 2.6% 3.5% 4.4% 6.0% 5.3% 7.5% 10.0% 12.2% 16.1% 16.0% 9.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.