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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63+2.86vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.82+1.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.17+1.92vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+3.04vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.29-0.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-0.44vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.350.00vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.25-3.23vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University-0.06-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-1.60+1.78vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.83-1.01vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-1.02vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-1.66-1.96vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-2.13-2.22vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.79-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.2%1st Place
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3.39Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.92Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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4.72Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.77Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
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11.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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12.04Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.78Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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12.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Pokorny | 19.0% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 23.6% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 10.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Murphy | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Fuller | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dominik Moncur | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden McCready | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Green | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 14.8% |
| James Meyer | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 15.6% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 16.3% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 30.1% |
| Riley McKnight | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.