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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.82+2.49vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+2.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93+2.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University-0.06+4.09vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.170.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+1.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+4.70vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.25-3.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63-5.13vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.35-2.88vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.83-0.99vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-1.66+0.07vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-1.60-1.09vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-2.13-2.24vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.79-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.53Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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8.09Roger Williams University-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.0Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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11.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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4.78Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.2%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University0.350.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.76Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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12.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 21.8% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Murphy | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden McCready | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Shearley | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 14.0% |
| Dominik Moncur | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Pokorny | 17.5% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Fuller | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Meyer | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| Charlotte Green | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 14.9% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 30.6% |
| Riley McKnight | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.