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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.92vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.29+1.82vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.72vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37-1.75vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-0.01vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22-2.04vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University0.91-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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3.82Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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2.25Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
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4.99St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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3.96George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.36Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 10.6% |
| Esther Ireland | 11.9% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 24.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 38.7% | 26.4% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Maisy Sperry | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 29.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 12.3% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 9.6% |
| Alexa Shea | 9.5% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.