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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.37+1.20vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.29+1.80vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+1.95vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.77vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University0.91-0.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.01vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
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3.8Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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4.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.49Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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3.8George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 42.4% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Esther Ireland | 11.7% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 8.6% |
| Maisy Sperry | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 27.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 24.1% |
| Alexa Shea | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| Ava Farley | 10.8% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 10.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.8% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.