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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.87vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+0.23vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+1.92vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.29-0.10vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.21vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University0.91-1.52vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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2.23Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
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4.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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3.9Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
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3.82George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 13.1% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 9.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 38.2% | 29.2% | 16.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Maisy Sperry | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 28.5% |
| Esther Ireland | 12.3% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 24.4% |
| Alexa Shea | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 19.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.6% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.