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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.37+1.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.97vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.29+0.85vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22-0.02vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.27vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-1.09vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University0.91-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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3.85Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
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3.98George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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4.29Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 40.9% | 23.5% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Ava Farley | 10.9% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% |
| Esther Ireland | 11.9% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 9.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 10.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 24.7% |
| Maisy Sperry | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 28.7% |
| Alexa Shea | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.