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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.65vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University0.91+2.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37-0.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.43vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-0.37vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University-0.16-0.28vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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4.12Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.01Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.63St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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5.72Old Dominion University-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.44George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 13.2% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
| Alexa Shea | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 9.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 43.9% | 28.7% | 16.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 22.2% | 12.3% |
| Maisy Sperry | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 17.0% |
| Petra Humphrey | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 50.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 16.9% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.