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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.61vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+0.05vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+1.57vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University0.91+0.16vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.58vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22-2.38vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University-0.16-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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2.05Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
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4.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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4.16Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
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4.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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3.62George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.58Old Dominion University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 14.7% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 5.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 43.2% | 28.2% | 16.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Maisy Sperry | 8.1% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 17.1% |
| Alexa Shea | 9.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 10.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 14.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.7% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Petra Humphrey | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.